Paritian

Statistics

Correlation Confidence Interval Calculator (Fisher z Transformation)

A confidence interval for the true correlation behind a sample r, by Fisher's z transformation, with an approximate p-value for r = 0 and the shared variance r².

Results

Interval for the true correlation, lower end 0.334
Interval for the true correlation, upper end 0.801
Fisher z (atanh r) 0.7250
Standard error of z 0.1925
p-value for r = 0 (two-sided, approximate) 0.0002
Shared variance (r²) 38.4 %

What this tool does

A correlation measured on a sample is only an estimate, and its error is lopsided: near ±1 the possible values bunch up against the limit. Fisher's transformation z′ = atanh r makes the error roughly normal with a standard error of 1 ÷ √(n − 3), so the interval is built there and mapped back with tanh. With r = 0.62 from 30 pairs the true value could plausibly lie anywhere from about 0.33 to 0.80. The p-value uses the same normal approximation and is a little different from the exact t-test.

Formula

z′ = atanh r = ½ ln((1 + r) ÷ (1 − r)) · SE = 1 ÷ √(n − 3) · interval = tanh(z′ ± z × SE)

Variables

SymbolMeaningUnit
rSample correlation r—
nNumber of pairs (n)—
clConfidence level—
LOInterval for the true correlation, lower end—
HIInterval for the true correlation, upper end—
ZFFisher z (atanh r)—
SEStandard error of z—
PVp-value for r = 0 (two-sided, approximate)—
R2Shared variance (r²)%

Worked example

  • Sample correlation r0.62
  • Number of pairs (n)30
  • Confidence level95
  • Interval for the true correlation, lower end0.334
  • Interval for the true correlation, upper end0.801
  • Fisher z (atanh r)0.7250
  • Standard error of z0.1925
  • p-value for r = 0 (two-sided, approximate)0.0002
  • Shared variance (r²)38.4 %

Limitations

  • The formula assumes ideal conditions: no friction losses, no air resistance and no efficiency losses unless you enter them.
  • Standard deviation and variance are calculated for a sample (dividing by n − 1). For a full population, divide by n instead.